Saturday, December 24, 2011

Euro Dollar probable scenario ?


Traders willing to pay a high premium (options) "highly speculative shorts"
Focus on long/short trigger
Key month trigger is March
Gut feeling ; Way oversold

6 comments:

Felipe Lou said...

Net Sellers have increased at its old time highs in the EURUSD. A big move is coming and will be probably to the upside. That´s my bet!

Have a very nice Christmas Moise

Moise Levi said...

Thanks, happy holidays :)))

Anonymous said...

Maestro !!!
Your willigness to share , your experience ,your knowledge and your deep and profound simplicity to analyze dificult things , changed forever the way that I see and invest in the markets. Happy New year and hopefully see you soon !!!!Big Hug and many thanks
Kamikaze...:)

Moise Levi said...

Pura vida !!!! It was an honor to meet you !!!!
All the best, and yes, see you soon :)))

Don said...

Have to agree with @felipe here. Bearish speculation on the collapse of Europe is way overdone. Moreover, there are some interesting A/D divergences developing on TLT, UUP, and FXE (bearish on the two formers and bullish on the later) that indicate an upside breakout may be in the works. I discussed this in more detail on my site today.

Bottom line, if Eurodollar breaks the short trigger, it's probably a pretty good bear trap.

Anonymous said...

My feeling is the euro will go up a little before going down farther. It's trading in a falling channel and we're at the bottom. It should go up towards 1;37 or so before anew leg further down. It might well be possible that the excessive short positions on the euro will push it even higher.